“The challenges that climate change will pose need to be considered in every building, but particularly those that will be around for a long time,” says David Symons, director of Environment & Energy at WSP in the UK. “In 50 years, peak summer temperatures in London are forecast to be 6.5°C higher than they are today. By 2100, they could be around 10.5°C higher. Our research shows that today’s building design codes are wholly inadequate to address these future temperatures. Over 80% of Londoners already claim their flats are too hot in summer, with newer homes having more of a problem.”
Technology to the Rescue
To address hotter temperatures, mechanical and electrical engineers could just design larger cooling systems. “But that will create massive extra energy demand – for cities and for building owners. That’s challenging when energy prices are forecast to be about 30% higher in the UK by 2030. So energy bills will be much higher too.”
The alternative is to use emerging techniques that use fresh air from outside and the thermal mass of buildings to maintain comfortable temperatures. “That becomes even more of an option in a future world which is anticipated to be purely electric. By 2050, some cities will be all electric for heating, for power, for travel. At a stroke, that transforms air quality and reduces noise levels.”
In temperate climates today, windows remain shut against the noise and pollution of city streets, and because buildings are designed to rely on air-conditioning systems. “But why would you do that into the future? You could imagine a world in which there’s no reason not to open the windows.”